AI point scaling affects passive exapansion over time too. But it doesn't affect settlement due to nest destruction.
It works roughly like this: every destroyed base allows Rampant to create a new base. 3/4 of these are created far from the player, but 1/4 are nearby
Additionally, approximately every 20 minutes a resource deposit is captured.
Sometimes, the AI can switch to siege mode. In this mode, approximately one base is created every 5 minutes near the player.
Also, you may have been unlucky and have experienced a couple of sieges in a row
Also, if you happen to turn on the "AI: Survival Mode" map setting, things are very different there.
Everything mentioned above is about Rampant for Factorio 2.1.
In 2.0, the algorithm is completely different.